Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | LSU +550 AUB -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +13 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -12.8 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -9.9 (-3.1) | 147.6 (+13.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -10.3 (-2.7) | 146.7 (+14.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -10.4 (-2.6) | 146.1 (+14.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -10.0 (-3.0) | 146.4 (+14.6) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AUB 88 – 74 LSU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | AUB 93 – 78 LSU |
| Jan 19, 2023 | AUB 67 – 49 LSU |
| Dec 30, 2021 | AUB 70 – 55 LSU |
| Feb 20, 2021 | LSU 104 – 80 AUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 32-6 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-7 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 11-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#57) | 26.7 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#56) | 5.30 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#60) | 6.57 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#98) | 0.720 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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