Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -450 ILST +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -7.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -5.0 (-3.0) | 133.4 (-5.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -6.1 (-4.1) | 130.9 (-2.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -4.9 (-2.9) | 134.8 (-6.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -4.7 (-2.7) | 134.8 (-6.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 74 – 52 ILST |
| Feb 26, 2026 | ILST 71 – 69 UNI |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ILST 59 – 54 UNI |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNI 68 – 65 ILST |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UNI 85 – 84 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-14 |
| Home | 8-8 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#182) | -4.2 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#211) | -0.67 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#196) | -0.89 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#217) | 0.459 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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