Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -154 OU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +16 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -4.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -2.7 (+13.3) | 130.2 (-2.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -3.1 (+12.9) | 128.3 (-0.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -2.0 (+14.0) | 129.7 (-1.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -2.5 (+13.5) | 130.5 (-2.5) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | OU 85 – 76 OKST |
| Dec 15, 2024 | OU 80 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | OU 84 – 82 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | OU 66 – 62 OKST |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OKST 57 – 49 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#38) | 10.1 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#83) | 1.67 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#66) | 2.46 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#77) | 0.577 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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