Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | TEM -400 ECU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +15 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -7.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -4.8 (+10.2) | 137.9 (-6.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -4.8 (+10.2) | 138.3 (-7.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -4.7 (+10.3) | 137.9 (-6.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -5.4 (+9.6) | 136.6 (-5.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | TEM 81 – 73 ECU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | TEM 75 – 67 ECU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TEM 98 – 94 ECU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | ECU 80 – 79 TEM |
| Jan 28, 2024 | ECU 70 – 64 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#146) | -2.0 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#157) | -0.28 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#148) | -0.14 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#147) | 0.470 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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