Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | LUC +210 SLU -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +17 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -7.4 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -9.9 (-7.1) | 149.3 (-14.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -6.6 (-10.4) | 145.8 (-10.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -8.2 (-8.8) | 147.0 (-12.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -8.3 (-8.7) | 149.0 (-14.0) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | SLU 79 – 65 LUC |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SLU 86 – 59 LUC |
| Mar 14, 2025 | LUC 72 – 64 SLU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SLU 98 – 67 LUC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LUC 78 – 69 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#279) | 4.9 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#280) | 1.24 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#275) | 1.46 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#296) | 0.589 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 24.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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