Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | CARK -110 UNA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | CARK -1.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -0.3 (-4.7) | 156.9 (-5.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -0.7 (-5.7) | 155.6 (-4.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -0.2 (-5.2) | 156.9 (-5.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -0.6 (-5.6) | 157.6 (-6.6) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | CARK 72 – 65 UNA |
| Feb 5, 2026 | CARK 81 – 60 UNA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | UNA 93 – 70 CARK |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNA 94 – 65 CARK |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNA 82 – 78 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-13 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.4 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#339) | -8.8 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#299) | -0.77 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#321) | -1.43 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#279) | 0.457 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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