Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | UTC +100 FUR +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +8 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -3.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -3.3 (-11.3) | 154.1 (-8.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -3.4 (-11.4) | 152.8 (-6.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -3.0 (-11.0) | 156.5 (-10.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -3.1 (-11.1) | 156.1 (-10.1) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | FUR 75 – 70 UTC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FUR 78 – 67 UTC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FUR 80 – 77 UTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTC 85 – 72 FUR |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTC 75 – 71 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#130) | 2.8 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#174) | 0.23 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#157) | 0.25 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#148) | 0.501 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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