I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–5 on winners spread MAE 7.8 33 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ Tulane -12.8 141.0 12% 80–60 ✓
Kansas @ Kansas State +1.8 145.2 53% 82–83 ✓
Tennessee @ Mississippi State -6.2 122.3 21% 70–59 ✓
UIC @ Valparaiso +0.4 140.0 54% 66–76 ✓
NC State @ Georgia Tech -5.9 144.1 29% 78–66 ✓
Florida State @ Notre Dame +6.3 143.1 71% 84–71 ✗
Boston College @ North Carolina +15.6 146.2 88% 64–72 ✓
Creighton @ Butler -2.4 141.2 43% 73–52 ✓
Rhode Island @ Richmond +8.8 131.5 80% 57–64 ✓
Davidson @ Dayton +9.4 131.7 82% 61–68 ✓
Massachusetts @ VCU +6.4 143.3 78% 55–83 ✓
Ohio @ Toledo +5.7 158.7 73% 75–90 ✓
Kent State @ Eastern Michigan -13.6 145.7 13% 77–63 ✓
Akron @ Central Michigan -7.4 135.2 24% 69–51 ✓
Bowling Green @ Buffalo +4.8 156.9 71% 71–100 ✓
Western Michigan @ Ball State +10.3 144.0 87% 70–71 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH) +2.9 143.6 59% 81–77 ✗
Texas @ Iowa State +4.2 130.8 73% 67–78 ✓
Evansville @ Southern Illinois +14.1 131.7 88% 70–77 ✓
Alabama @ Vanderbilt -8.2 157.8 25% 78–66 ✓
Penn State @ Wisconsin +3.1 129.4 70% 60–63 ✓
Clemson @ Wake Forest +2.6 150.0 62% 77–87 ✓
Baylor @ Texas Tech +1.0 143.2 47% 81–74 ✗
Murray State @ Belmont +5.6 142.3 71% 65–80 ✓
Georgia @ Kentucky +7.9 133.9 81% 71–85 ✓
Wyoming @ Air Force +3.8 135.6 69% 74–82 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +6.9 153.6 77% 71–75 ✓
San José State @ New Mexico +9.2 141.0 84% 57–77 ✓
Nevada @ Boise State +6.0 134.5 79% 62–77 ✓
Bucknell @ Army +6.2 139.7 69% 68–66 ✗
UMBC @ UMass Lowell +3.6 147.6 66% 75–81 ✓
Hartford @ Morgan State +14.3 141.6 89% 84–92 ✓
UConn @ Seton Hall -2.6 135.5 52% 66–67 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.