Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | HALL +170 CONN -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -5.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -1.8 (+2.8) | 138.6 (-5.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -2.6 (+3.6) | 135.5 (-2.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -2.1 (+3.1) | 137.0 (-4.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -2.0 (+3.0) | 137.1 (-4.1) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CONN 71 – 67 HALL |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CONN 69 – 64 HALL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CONN 81 – 50 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HALL 69 – 68 CONN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CONN 91 – 61 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 31-8 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 10-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W6 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 64.1 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#53) | 18.0 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#69) | 2.83 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#77) | 3.71 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#62) | 0.611 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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