Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR +250 CREI -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +21 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -2.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -1.5 (-19.5) | 143.2 (-18.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -2.4 (-18.6) | 141.2 (-16.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -1.3 (-19.7) | 141.8 (-16.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -1.3 (-19.7) | 142.3 (-17.3) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CREI 76 – 59 BTLR |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CREI 89 – 85 BTLR |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CREI 87 – 74 BTLR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CREI 80 – 76 BTLR |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CREI 79 – 57 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#78) | 12.9 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#80) | 1.43 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#81) | 2.00 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#97) | 0.580 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 13.4% |
Game Analysis
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