Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -300 MUR +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +15 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -6.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -4.9 (+10.1) | 144.4 (+0.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -5.6 (+9.4) | 142.3 (+2.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -4.5 (+10.5) | 144.5 (+0.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -5.1 (+9.9) | 144.9 (+0.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | BEL 87 – 70 MUR |
| Feb 1, 2026 | BEL 103 – 86 MUR |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BEL 70 – 60 MUR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BEL 95 – 77 MUR |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BEL 83 – 61 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#137) | -0.6 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#111) | 0.04 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#137) | 0.08 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#84) | 0.503 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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