Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Atlantic Coast Conference · LJVM Coliseum · January 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WAKE -3.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money WAKE -188 / CLEM +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total WAKE win
Actual WAKE +10 164 Won
Massey WAKE -1.9 (+8.1) — —
Massey Totals — 153.8 (+10.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 55% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 58% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WAKE -2.1 (+7.9) 151.8 (+12.2) 63% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WAKE -2.6 (+7.4) 150.0 (+14.0) 62% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WAKE -2.7 (+7.3) 151.7 (+12.3) 61% ✓
Baseline ML WAKE -2.1 (+7.9) 153.2 (+10.8) 60% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 12, 2026 CLEM 71 – 62 WAKE
Feb 19, 2026 WAKE 85 – 77 CLEM
Dec 21, 2024 CLEM 73 – 62 WAKE
Mar 9, 2024 WAKE 81 – 76 CLEM
Dec 3, 2022 CLEM 77 – 57 WAKE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WAKE CLEM
Overall 19-14 23-11
Conference 10-10 14-6
Home 13-3 15-2
Away 4-8 5-6
Neutral 2-3 3-3
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 76.6 74.7
Avg Pts Against 73.8 67.9
Massey 6.1 (#86) 8.0 (#71)
Bradley-Terry 1.86 (#43) 2.31 (#26)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.34 (#45) 2.77 (#28)
RPI 0.588 (#43) 0.598 (#33)
Shooting & Four Factors WAKE CLEM
FG% 47.2% 47.1%
3PT% 37.8% 38.0%
REB / G 34.6 34.8
OREB / G 8.8 7.3
AST / TO 1.02 1.38
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.2% 54.3%
TOV% 18.4% 15.9%
ORB% 26.7% 23.4%
FT Rate 24.0% 26.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 46.2%
Opp TOV% 19.4% 17.5%
DRB% 74.2% 74.8%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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