Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
Clemson Tigers
71 – 62
FINAL Neutral Conference ACC
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Atlantic Coast Conference · Spectrum Center (Neutral) · March 12, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread CLEM -5.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money CLEM -250 / WAKE +205
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLEM win
Actual CLEM +9 133 Won
Massey CLEM -4.2 (+4.8) — —
Massey Totals — 143.2 (-10.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 71% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 74% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLEM -3.0 (+6.0) 140.5 (-7.5) 64% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLEM -3.4 (+5.6) 139.6 (-6.6) 68% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLEM -3.2 (+5.8) 138.7 (-5.7) 62% ✓
Baseline ML CLEM -2.6 (+6.4) 137.0 (-4.0) 64% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 WAKE 85 – 77 CLEM
Dec 21, 2024 CLEM 73 – 62 WAKE
Mar 9, 2024 WAKE 81 – 76 CLEM
Jan 18, 2023 WAKE 87 – 77 CLEM
Dec 3, 2022 CLEM 77 – 57 WAKE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLEM WAKE
Overall 24-11 18-17
Conference 12-6 7-11
Home 13-3 13-7
Away 6-5 2-7
Neutral 5-3 3-3
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 73.8 78.8
Avg Pts Against 66.7 76.9
Massey 14.2 (#38) 10.0 (#61)
Bradley-Terry 2.43 (#35) 1.52 (#68)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.96 (#38) 1.93 (#68)
RPI 0.587 (#35) 0.551 (#73)
Shooting & Four Factors CLEM WAKE
FG% 45.8% 45.1%
3PT% 34.1% 34.1%
REB / G 34.5 33.2
OREB / G 9.3 10.2
AST / TO 1.33 1.33
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.1% 52.5%
TOV% 14.7% 15.3%
ORB% 28.5% 29.9%
FT Rate 27.1% 27.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.3% 52.1%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 18.1%
DRB% 74.5% 67.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.0% 27.2%

Game Analysis

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