Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | KSU +100 KU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +1 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -0.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -0.8 (+0.2) | 149.2 (+15.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -1.8 (-0.8) | 145.2 (+19.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -0.3 (+0.7) | 148.9 (+16.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -0.8 (+0.2) | 149.1 (+15.9) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 85 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | KU 86 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KSU 81 – 73 KU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | KU 84 – 74 KSU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | KU 90 – 68 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#20) | 16.5 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.37 (#6) | 4.04 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.96 (#6) | 4.58 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.641 (#6) | 0.686 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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