We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Mid-American Conference · Gervin GameAbove Center · January 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -13.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money EMU +700 / KENT -900
Model Predictions
Spread Total EMU win
Actual KENT +14 140 Lost
Massey KENT -16.7 (+2.7) — —
Massey Totals — 148.0 (-8.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 2% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 1% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KENT -13.6 (-0.4) 147.9 (-7.9) 12% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENT -13.6 (-0.4) 145.7 (-5.7) 13% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -14.1 (+0.1) 145.8 (-5.8) 13% ✓
Baseline ML KENT -14.8 (+0.8) 144.0 (-4.0) 12% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 KENT 95 – 91 EMU
Jan 24, 2026 KENT 76 – 75 EMU
Mar 8, 2025 KENT 76 – 70 EMU
Feb 4, 2025 KENT 70 – 49 EMU
Jan 6, 2024 EMU 71 – 69 KENT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EMU KENT
Overall 8-23 28-7
Conference 5-13 15-3
Home 6-7 15-0
Away 2-13 9-6
Neutral 0-3 4-1
Last 5 1-4 5-0
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 72.1 75.2
Avg Pts Against 81.3 66.5
Massey -10.2 (#334) 10.2 (#41)
Bradley-Terry -1.91 (#333) 2.58 (#17)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.35 (#330) 3.22 (#17)
RPI 0.386 (#346) 0.606 (#27)
Shooting & Four Factors EMU KENT
FG% 42.4% 42.2%
3PT% 31.3% 33.2%
REB / G 31.4 34.3
OREB / G 9.3 10.5
AST / TO 0.79 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.7% 48.8%
TOV% 16.5% 16.6%
ORB% 25.7% 28.2%
FT Rate 25.6% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.3% 45.9%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 24.6%
DRB% 67.0% 69.2%
Opp FT Rate 27.5% 26.0%

Game Analysis

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