Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UNM -500 SJSU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +20 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -12.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -10.7 (+9.3) | 139.3 (-5.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -9.2 (+10.8) | 141.0 (-7.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -10.0 (+10.0) | 143.4 (-9.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -10.2 (+9.8) | 143.0 (-9.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UNM 93 – 77 SJSU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UNM 90 – 80 SJSU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | UNM 88 – 65 SJSU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UNM 63 – 52 SJSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SJSU 71 – 70 UNM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#36) | 2.1 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#22) | 1.19 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#20) | 1.46 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#31) | 0.560 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 12.0% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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