Betting Lines
| Spread | AF -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | AF -200 WYO +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AF +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | AF -6.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AF -5.4 (+2.6) | 135.3 (+20.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AF -3.8 (+4.2) | 135.6 (+20.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AF -4.5 (+3.5) | 135.3 (+20.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AF -5.1 (+2.9) | 136.3 (+19.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WYO 66 – 62 AF |
| Dec 30, 2025 | WYO 68 – 56 AF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WYO 69 – 62 AF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WYO 70 – 65 AF |
| Mar 6, 2024 | WYO 74 – 63 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AF | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-9 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-6 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#140) | -0.8 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#160) | -0.96 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#164) | -0.86 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#208) | 0.464 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AF | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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