Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -250 NEV +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +15 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -5.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -5.8 (+9.2) | 135.5 (+3.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -6.0 (+9.0) | 134.5 (+4.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -5.7 (+9.3) | 134.3 (+4.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -5.9 (+9.1) | 135.6 (+3.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 87 NEV |
| Dec 21, 2025 | NEV 81 – 66 BOIS |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BOIS 70 – 69 NEV |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BOIS 66 – 56 NEV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NEV 76 – 66 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#25) | 10.3 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#37) | 2.27 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#27) | 2.66 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#28) | 0.639 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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