Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -200 BUCK +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -7.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -6.7 (-8.7) | 142.2 (-8.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -6.2 (-8.2) | 139.7 (-5.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -7.2 (-9.2) | 144.9 (-10.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -6.7 (-8.7) | 144.6 (-10.6) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BUCK 65 – 55 ARMY |
| Feb 25, 2026 | BUCK 75 – 73 ARMY |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 84 BUCK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BUCK 84 – 53 ARMY |
| Feb 8, 2025 | ARMY 116 – 110 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#219) | -5.9 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#234) | -1.88 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#225) | -2.14 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#241) | 0.397 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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