Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -150 RMU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -7.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -5.3 (+2.7) | 140.2 (+5.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -5.4 (+2.6) | 140.7 (+5.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -5.4 (+2.6) | 140.9 (+5.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -5.2 (+2.8) | 141.3 (+4.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | RMU 88 – 76 MILW |
| Dec 7, 2025 | MILW 74 – 72 RMU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | RMU 72 – 59 MILW |
| Jan 19, 2025 | RMU 81 – 79 MILW |
| Feb 10, 2024 | RMU 71 – 60 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#205) | -4.8 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#152) | -1.16 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#175) | -1.04 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#143) | 0.430 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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