Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | LT -200 WKU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +11 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | LT -5.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -4.1 (+6.9) | 142.3 (+16.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -4.7 (+6.3) | 140.8 (+18.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -4.0 (+7.0) | 141.6 (+17.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -3.8 (+7.2) | 141.2 (+17.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | WKU 66 – 61 LT |
| Feb 23, 2025 | WKU 64 – 63 LT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LT 77 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LT 90 – 84 WKU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WKU 81 – 76 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#136) | 0.2 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#178) | 0.44 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#173) | 0.16 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#163) | 0.524 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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