Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -225 FIU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +20 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -7.2 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -5.8 (+14.2) | 136.7 (+5.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -6.5 (+13.5) | 137.1 (+4.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -5.0 (+15.0) | 134.5 (+7.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -5.2 (+14.8) | 135.0 (+7.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UTEP 83 – 77 FIU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | FIU 76 – 64 UTEP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTEP 77 – 63 FIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTEP 81 – 73 FIU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UTEP 83 – 76 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#188) | -4.3 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#169) | -0.49 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#177) | -0.99 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#178) | 0.459 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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