Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | STBK +130 NE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +13 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | STBK -1.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -0.5 (-13.5) | 128.7 (+16.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -0.7 (-12.3) | 131.4 (+13.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -0.4 (-13.4) | 129.0 (+16.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -0.4 (-13.4) | 130.3 (+14.7) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | STBK 69 – 55 NE |
| Jan 23, 2026 | STBK 95 – 80 NE |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NE 71 – 60 STBK |
| Jan 12, 2025 | NE 70 – 66 STBK |
| Mar 9, 2024 | STBK 75 – 65 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 6-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#315) | -5.9 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#278) | -0.97 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#287) | -1.31 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#289) | 0.440 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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