Betting Lines
| Spread | NAU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | NAU -225 IDHO +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +5 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | NAU -3.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAU -1.3 (-6.3) | 142.7 (+28.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAU -2.9 (-7.9) | 140.2 (+30.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAU -2.2 (-7.2) | 142.9 (+28.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NAU -2.4 (-7.4) | 142.6 (+28.4) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | IDHO 78 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | IDHO 79 – 62 NAU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 78 NAU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NAU 80 – 72 IDHO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | IDHO 86 – 76 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-23 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-10 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#262) | -5.7 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#294) | -1.56 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#294) | -1.88 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#298) | 0.381 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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