Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SELA +100 NWST +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +10 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -1.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -0.4 (-10.4) | 150.6 (+21.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -1.4 (-11.4) | 147.7 (+24.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -1.1 (-11.1) | 148.6 (+23.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -0.6 (-10.6) | 149.5 (+22.5) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NWST 69 – 66 SELA |
| Dec 7, 2025 | NWST 76 – 68 SELA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NWST 72 – 69 SELA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SELA 65 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SELA 69 – 59 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#253) | -2.8 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#198) | 0.12 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#217) | -0.49 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#235) | 0.521 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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