So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
Horizon League · Resch Center · January 20, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -15.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money GB +850 / YSU -1200
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual YSU +16 156 Lost
Massey YSU -18.5 (+2.5) — —
Massey Totals — 151.1 (+4.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 8% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 4% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YSU -16.4 (+0.4) 150.4 (+5.6) 13% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -13.5 (-2.5) 152.4 (+3.6) 14% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -14.9 (-1.1) 152.0 (+4.0) 13% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -17.1 (+1.1) 153.7 (+2.3) 12% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 GB 85 – 63 YSU
Jan 22, 2026 YSU 88 – 81 GB
Feb 23, 2025 YSU 81 – 77 GB
Jan 19, 2025 YSU 73 – 69 GB
Feb 25, 2024 YSU 71 – 59 GB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB YSU
Overall 3-29 24-10
Conference 2-18 15-5
Home 2-10 14-3
Away 1-17 9-6
Neutral 0-2 1-1
Last 5 0-5 4-1
Streak L7 L2
Avg Pts For 59.3 80.4
Avg Pts Against 76.5 72.9
Massey -17.1 (#359) 5.2 (#95)
Bradley-Terry -2.71 (#354) 0.39 (#144)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.33 (#354) 0.62 (#124)
RPI 0.359 (#354) 0.506 (#167)
Shooting & Four Factors GB YSU
FG% 41.5% 49.9%
3PT% 29.4% 40.8%
REB / G 27.3 34.3
OREB / G 7.1 10.5
AST / TO 0.73 1.20
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 56.9%
TOV% 22.2% 17.6%
ORB% 22.2% 32.4%
FT Rate 24.7% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.8% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 19.0%
DRB% 66.5% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 16.6%

Game Analysis

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