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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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54–19 on winners spread MAE 9.7 73 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida Atlantic @ UAB +2.2 148.0 63% 77–86 ✓
Rice @ Louisiana Tech +4.1 149.1 72% 72–80 ✓
Florida International @ Charlotte +8.8 133.0 83% 57–54 ✗
Wisconsin @ Ohio State +8.7 133.6 76% 65–60 ✗
Michigan @ Northwestern +5.9 138.7 76% 68–51 ✗
High Point @ UNC Asheville +9.3 152.5 84% 63–89 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Mercer -2.0 129.8 36% 69–49 ✓
VMI @ The Citadel +3.3 138.9 55% 75–69 ✗
Saint Francis @ Stonehill +3.8 141.6 70% 61–74 ✓
Wagner @ Sacred Heart -1.1 132.8 44% 56–65 ✗
Southern Miss @ Troy +1.0 136.3 56% 74–65 ✗
James Madison @ Old Dominion -1.8 140.4 44% 78–73 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State +1.4 133.1 54% 60–64 ✓
UT Martin @ SIU Edwardsville +4.6 148.3 74% 75–89 ✓
Wright State @ Youngstown State +6.6 158.0 78% 89–91 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris -1.3 132.6 32% 65–52 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland -0.2 149.6 50% 82–73 ✓
Cleveland State @ Detroit Mercy +0.2 145.5 53% 67–85 ✓
Charleston @ Drexel -3.7 141.9 36% 69–70 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ UNC Wilmington +9.6 136.6 84% 63–87 ✓
Elon @ Stony Brook +2.8 133.4 56% 69–55 ✗
William & Mary @ Hampton +0.5 142.5 57% 57–62 ✓
Towson @ Hofstra +3.9 137.5 68% 72–76 ✓
Delaware @ Monmouth -8.6 135.1 25% 62–70 ✗
North Florida @ Jacksonville +7.2 137.7 78% 76–63 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Florida Gulf Coast +11.4 149.6 84% 91–87 ✗
North Alabama @ Stetson +7.7 149.7 78% 57–79 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ UL Monroe +1.0 140.6 56% 70–83 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Morehead State +3.9 138.9 73% 45–64 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Eastern Kentucky +6.3 139.5 75% 67–69 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Bellarmine -2.9 131.1 33% 90–84 ✓
Stanford @ Utah +6.8 134.4 70% 78–72 ✗
Oregon State @ Arizona State +12.2 129.8 86% 57–68 ✓
UTSA @ Western Kentucky +11.4 143.2 85% 74–81 ✓
South Alabama @ Arkansas State -5.1 131.7 33% 82–62 ✓
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +12.2 140.9 87% 73–96 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota -1.9 144.9 46% 62–71 ✗
St. Thomas @ Omaha -2.4 140.2 41% 89–83 ✓
Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State +8.6 159.1 82% 98–99 ✓
Liberty @ Austin Peay -15.1 131.5 13% 82–70 ✓
Queens University @ Lipscomb +0.2 149.8 61% 60–66 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ LSU New Orleans -7.8 153.4 18% 86–69 ✓
Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana +8.9 147.3 82% 67–77 ✓
Lamar @ McNeese +7.2 137.2 69% 70–63 ✗
Northwestern State @ Houston Christian -7.0 157.5 22% 94–76 ✓
Texas State @ Louisiana +7.2 136.3 76% 63–82 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southern Indiana +8.2 153.1 78% 80–76 ✗
Houston @ Wichita State -13.0 132.9 12% 70–61 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +15.6 141.0 89% 61–70 ✓
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee +5.9 130.2 72% 72–84 ✓
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech -3.8 150.3 41% 76–69 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ BYU +5.4 145.3 74% 61–89 ✓
Western Illinois @ Denver -0.4 146.2 45% 44–74 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Lindenwood +2.5 138.9 65% 67–80 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Davis +0.8 137.4 60% 63–75 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana State +12.5 138.8 88% 68–69 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana +5.8 141.7 74% 67–69 ✓
California @ Colorado +14.0 126.5 87% 46–59 ✓
Pepperdine @ Pacific +2.8 162.9 72% 73–81 ✓
Portland @ San Diego +0.2 156.8 57% 80–61 ✗
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +14.0 123.3 86% 62–68 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton +1.8 148.9 62% 70–67 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Bakersfield -6.7 128.0 27% 76–82 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC San Diego -8.1 141.9 20% 76–60 ✓
Idaho @ Portland State +5.7 145.2 73% 66–69 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Sacramento State -0.3 136.1 40% 82–63 ✓
Oregon @ Arizona +9.0 150.6 82% 76–91 ✓
Santa Clara @ Gonzaga +11.3 157.7 85% 70–88 ✓
San Francisco @ Saint Mary's +12.4 129.2 87% 59–68 ✓
Washington State @ USC +4.2 133.3 75% 70–80 ✓
Yale @ Harvard -2.9 133.7 39% 68–57 ✓
Brown @ Dartmouth -1.5 142.1 47% 73–61 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State +10.2 151.5 86% 90–91 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.