Cause now I wanna be your dog. "I Wanna Be Your Dog" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–15 on winners spread MAE 8.9 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee @ Florida -5.3 129.1 32% 54–67 ✗
Georgia @ Auburn +13.1 139.2 87% 73–94 ✓
Tulsa @ Cincinnati +14.9 147.9 88% 55–81 ✓
East Carolina @ South Florida +4.5 143.2 69% 63–71 ✓
Holy Cross @ Boston University +7.8 132.6 77% 82–70 ✗
Army @ Lehigh +0.5 140.9 47% 71–69 ✗
Bucknell @ American University +7.2 129.7 73% 78–71 ✗
Pittsburgh @ North Carolina +7.7 144.9 77% 65–64 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Louisville -3.6 137.1 42% 58–68 ✗
New Hampshire @ NJIT -1.2 134.6 40% 74–67 ✓
Maine @ Bryant +6.5 150.8 79% 53–71 ✓
Binghamton @ UMBC +8.1 143.4 79% 55–69 ✓
Navy @ Lafayette -1.4 127.1 39% 53–34 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Richmond +5.2 131.0 68% 66–62 ✗
Rhode Island @ Saint Joseph's +3.7 142.2 73% 50–64 ✓
Massachusetts @ George Mason +2.7 142.0 62% 59–70 ✓
George Washington @ La Salle -0.8 145.8 53% 64–75 ✗
Radford @ Presbyterian -6.4 127.3 22% 67–59 ✓
Longwood @ Winthrop -2.6 135.5 41% 74–76 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Charleston Southern -3.3 134.6 36% 67–59 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Campbell +3.9 133.4 68% 66–78 ✓
Samford @ Western Carolina -3.3 143.0 37% 85–77 ✓
Chattanooga @ Furman +7.4 152.9 80% 58–79 ✓
Wofford @ East Tennessee State -0.3 137.4 52% 52–77 ✗
Sam Houston @ UT Rio Grande Valley -11.4 141.4 15% 67–65 ✓
Valparaiso @ Missouri State +11.6 129.9 85% 67–76 ✓
UIC @ Illinois State +4.3 136.9 69% 62–68 ✓
Belmont @ Murray State +1.5 146.9 63% 82–83 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +6.7 127.9 72% 52–62 ✓
Indiana State @ Evansville -11.7 147.0 16% 83–65 ✓
Villanova @ Marquette +10.4 144.3 83% 64–73 ✓
Seton Hall @ St. John's +1.2 141.4 57% 84–72 ✗
Minnesota @ Rutgers +14.7 132.3 88% 55–90 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma +2.3 132.5 64% 71–61 ✗
SMU @ Tulane +8.9 159.3 77% 52–74 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Drake +9.2 138.0 83% 81–88 ✓
Florida State @ NC State +10.9 153.3 86% 66–94 ✓
LSU @ Missouri +9.1 147.9 83% 77–87 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ New Mexico State -0.4 144.2 47% 67–73 ✗
Southern Utah @ California Baptist +0.2 142.9 44% 72–71 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Seattle U +9.7 143.1 83% 83–68 ✗
New Mexico @ Utah State +3.9 155.9 69% 73–84 ✓
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -9.8 147.9 16% 72–69 ✓
Central Connecticut @ St. Francis Brooklyn +0.3 129.0 49% 48–53 ✓
Long Island University @ Merrimack +10.3 131.3 83% 59–76 ✓
Marshall @ App State -2.7 146.8 46% 66–58 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.