Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–5 on winners spread MAE 8.8 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Clemson @ Boston College -4.9 138.5 34% 54–62 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Miami +4.4 145.5 75% 83–92 ✓
Wake Forest @ Duke +9.1 144.9 82% 73–75 ✓
Marist @ Quinnipiac +9.4 136.5 82% 66–72 ✓
Nebraska @ Illinois +13.7 135.8 88% 56–72 ✓
Texas A&M @ Arkansas +4.9 138.1 71% 70–81 ✓
VCU @ Davidson -1.4 135.0 34% 61–59 ✓
Saint Louis @ Fordham -0.8 145.2 52% 65–75 ✗
Ohio @ Eastern Michigan -8.0 156.2 24% 79–90 ✗
Central Michigan @ Kent State +16.4 141.6 89% 69–81 ✓
Toledo @ Miami (OH) -9.4 158.7 19% 81–78 ✓
Ball State @ Bowling Green -1.7 150.1 46% 69–60 ✓
Akron @ Buffalo +0.1 145.0 46% 81–64 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan +1.8 145.6 58% 73–59 ✗
Kansas State @ Kansas +5.9 146.3 78% 78–90 ✓
UConn @ DePaul -12.2 148.6 15% 90–76 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Alabama +13.0 156.3 87% 44–101 ✓
West Virginia @ TCU +5.2 144.6 76% 72–76 ✓
Indiana @ Maryland +2.1 136.7 60% 55–66 ✓
Northwestern @ Iowa +4.1 146.8 71% 70–86 ✓
Kentucky @ Ole Miss -4.4 134.4 28% 75–66 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Dayton +13.0 131.0 87% 81–85 ✓
UNLV @ Colorado State -0.3 148.0 42% 83–71 ✓
Boise State @ Air Force -8.1 132.1 21% 59–52 ✓
Fresno State @ Wyoming +1.8 127.7 58% 62–85 ✓
San Diego State @ Nevada +0.3 141.5 60% 66–75 ✓
UAlbany @ UMass Lowell +10.6 142.4 84% 50–66 ✓
Penn State @ Purdue +11.4 135.0 86% 60–80 ✓
Providence @ Xavier +2.4 153.7 68% 83–85 ✓
Creighton @ Georgetown -12.7 150.2 14% 63–53 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.