← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
10–6 on winners
spread MAE 7.9
16 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia
@
Syracuse
|
-2.0 | 133.8 | 32% | 67–62 | ✓ |
Chicago State
@
The Citadel
|
+1.6 | 138.4 | 54% | 76–75 | ✗ |
Loyola Maryland
@
Colgate
|
+15.8 | 135.9 | 88% | 63–76 | ✓ |
North Carolina Central
@
Norfolk State
|
+4.7 | 139.6 | 69% | 71–77 | ✓ |
South Carolina State
@
Howard
|
+9.9 | 155.5 | 86% | 74–100 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
Morgan State
|
+2.0 | 141.8 | 60% | 72–58 | ✗ |
Alabama A&M
@
Bethune-Cookman
|
+0.1 | 139.5 | 45% | 77–88 | ✓ |
Delaware State
@
Coppin State
|
+4.7 | 145.6 | 60% | 71–66 | ✗ |
South Dakota State
@
Kansas City
|
-1.0 | 129.5 | 44% | 67–66 | ✓ |
South Dakota
@
Oral Roberts
|
+15.9 | 154.6 | 90% | 53–103 | ✓ |
Alcorn State
@
Grambling
|
+3.9 | 137.4 | 57% | 63–60 | ✗ |
Baylor
@
Texas
|
+5.3 | 147.2 | 70% | 71–76 | ✓ |
Iowa State
@
Texas Tech
|
-0.5 | 129.8 | 56% | 77–80 | ✗ |
Jackson State
@
Southern
|
+8.3 | 144.4 | 83% | 62–73 | ✓ |
Alabama State
@
Florida A&M
|
-1.2 | 129.2 | 38% | 58–69 | ✗ |
Mississippi State
@
South Carolina
|
-11.5 | 128.8 | 15% | 66–51 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.