We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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50–23 on winners spread MAE 9.9 73 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida Atlantic @ UAB -0.3 148.1 45% 77–86 ✗
Rice @ Louisiana Tech +3.1 148.9 65% 72–80 ✓
Florida International @ Charlotte +9.8 134.8 83% 57–54 ✗
Wisconsin @ Ohio State +7.4 135.4 76% 65–60 ✗
Michigan @ Northwestern +5.8 140.6 73% 68–51 ✗
High Point @ UNC Asheville +10.1 150.7 85% 63–89 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Mercer -1.4 128.8 42% 69–49 ✓
VMI @ The Citadel +5.3 139.6 70% 75–69 ✗
Saint Francis @ Stonehill +2.0 143.5 61% 61–74 ✓
Wagner @ Sacred Heart +0.4 135.3 52% 56–65 ✓
Southern Miss @ Troy -1.2 137.4 43% 74–65 ✓
James Madison @ Old Dominion -2.1 141.4 41% 78–73 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State +0.5 133.5 52% 60–64 ✓
UT Martin @ SIU Edwardsville +3.9 144.3 66% 75–89 ✓
Wright State @ Youngstown State +8.1 159.0 81% 89–91 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris +0.3 132.5 50% 65–52 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland +0.2 148.1 51% 82–73 ✗
Cleveland State @ Detroit Mercy -0.3 146.3 47% 67–85 ✗
Charleston @ Drexel -5.6 140.2 27% 69–70 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ UNC Wilmington +7.9 136.8 80% 63–87 ✓
Elon @ Stony Brook +3.0 133.0 64% 69–55 ✗
William & Mary @ Hampton -1.1 146.0 44% 57–62 ✗
Towson @ Hofstra +5.4 139.8 72% 72–76 ✓
Delaware @ Monmouth -8.1 136.0 19% 62–70 ✗
North Florida @ Jacksonville +7.1 139.1 78% 76–63 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Florida Gulf Coast +11.1 147.8 86% 91–87 ✗
North Alabama @ Stetson +7.1 153.3 78% 57–79 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ UL Monroe +2.1 141.1 61% 70–83 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Morehead State +3.0 141.3 65% 45–64 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Eastern Kentucky +7.9 141.1 80% 67–69 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Bellarmine -3.5 135.6 34% 90–84 ✓
Stanford @ Utah +8.4 135.0 79% 78–72 ✗
Oregon State @ Arizona State +10.4 131.3 86% 57–68 ✓
UTSA @ Western Kentucky +9.7 144.5 84% 74–81 ✓
South Alabama @ Arkansas State -4.5 133.8 32% 82–62 ✓
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +9.7 140.6 84% 73–96 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota -0.5 147.2 49% 62–71 ✗
St. Thomas @ Omaha -2.1 142.9 42% 89–83 ✓
Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State +8.4 158.6 82% 98–99 ✓
Liberty @ Austin Peay -14.9 130.2 13% 82–70 ✓
Queens University @ Lipscomb +2.4 154.2 64% 60–66 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ LSU New Orleans -7.9 155.7 23% 86–69 ✓
Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana +8.0 147.9 81% 67–77 ✓
Lamar @ McNeese +6.0 141.5 74% 70–63 ✗
Northwestern State @ Houston Christian -9.9 155.1 17% 94–76 ✓
Texas State @ Louisiana +8.6 140.1 82% 63–82 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southern Indiana +7.6 154.7 80% 80–76 ✗
Houston @ Wichita State -13.7 134.7 14% 70–61 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +16.1 139.3 90% 61–70 ✓
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee +4.8 132.0 70% 72–84 ✓
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech -3.4 149.4 34% 76–69 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ BYU +2.7 145.4 62% 61–89 ✓
Western Illinois @ Denver -0.3 147.2 47% 44–74 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Lindenwood +1.1 137.6 55% 67–80 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Davis +1.2 138.4 58% 63–75 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana State +11.0 139.5 87% 68–69 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana +7.4 143.6 77% 67–69 ✓
California @ Colorado +12.7 130.7 87% 46–59 ✓
Pepperdine @ Pacific +2.7 159.8 67% 73–81 ✓
Portland @ San Diego +0.9 163.5 57% 80–61 ✗
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +11.9 130.3 87% 62–68 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton +3.1 146.5 67% 70–67 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Bakersfield -6.6 131.4 25% 76–82 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC San Diego -7.5 142.1 24% 76–60 ✓
Idaho @ Portland State +4.6 150.6 69% 66–69 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Sacramento State +0.2 140.1 50% 82–63 ✗
Oregon @ Arizona +8.8 151.8 81% 76–91 ✓
Santa Clara @ Gonzaga +12.5 160.2 87% 70–88 ✓
San Francisco @ Saint Mary's +13.1 132.5 87% 59–68 ✓
Washington State @ USC +5.0 136.2 74% 70–80 ✓
Yale @ Harvard -2.4 135.1 42% 68–57 ✓
Brown @ Dartmouth -0.2 140.5 49% 73–61 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State +10.9 152.5 87% 90–91 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.