Bitch, I'm me! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–13 on winners spread MAE 8.9 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee @ Florida -5.3 129.4 28% 54–67 ✗
Georgia @ Auburn +10.4 139.3 84% 73–94 ✓
Tulsa @ Cincinnati +14.9 144.7 88% 55–81 ✓
East Carolina @ South Florida +5.6 144.1 75% 63–71 ✓
Holy Cross @ Boston University +6.0 132.7 73% 82–70 ✗
Army @ Lehigh +2.1 141.7 61% 71–69 ✗
Bucknell @ American University +7.1 135.1 77% 78–71 ✗
Pittsburgh @ North Carolina +6.7 146.0 75% 65–64 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Louisville -4.2 134.8 32% 58–68 ✗
New Hampshire @ NJIT -0.5 136.2 46% 74–67 ✓
Maine @ Bryant +4.7 155.2 72% 53–71 ✓
Binghamton @ UMBC +8.5 145.5 82% 55–69 ✓
Navy @ Lafayette -0.0 129.1 53% 53–34 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Richmond +3.9 131.7 66% 66–62 ✗
Rhode Island @ Saint Joseph's +5.5 143.9 74% 50–64 ✓
Massachusetts @ George Mason +2.9 144.2 65% 59–70 ✓
George Washington @ La Salle -0.0 147.4 48% 64–75 ✗
Radford @ Presbyterian -8.3 130.7 20% 67–59 ✓
Longwood @ Winthrop -1.3 138.9 44% 74–76 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Charleston Southern -2.0 138.1 44% 67–59 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Campbell +3.9 134.9 66% 66–78 ✓
Samford @ Western Carolina -2.0 144.9 41% 85–77 ✓
Chattanooga @ Furman +7.1 156.0 79% 58–79 ✓
Wofford @ East Tennessee State +0.5 139.8 51% 52–77 ✓
Sam Houston @ UT Rio Grande Valley -11.7 145.1 15% 67–65 ✓
Valparaiso @ Missouri State +8.4 131.9 83% 67–76 ✓
UIC @ Illinois State +3.9 136.3 67% 62–68 ✓
Belmont @ Murray State +0.7 146.6 55% 82–83 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +4.8 133.5 66% 52–62 ✓
Indiana State @ Evansville -11.3 148.0 15% 83–65 ✓
Villanova @ Marquette +10.9 147.8 87% 64–73 ✓
Seton Hall @ St. John's +1.2 142.2 56% 84–72 ✗
Minnesota @ Rutgers +14.6 130.5 89% 55–90 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma +2.6 133.9 64% 71–61 ✗
SMU @ Tulane +9.0 155.6 82% 52–74 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Drake +10.3 140.1 84% 81–88 ✓
Florida State @ NC State +12.6 152.7 88% 66–94 ✓
LSU @ Missouri +10.3 148.3 84% 77–87 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ New Mexico State -0.9 147.6 46% 67–73 ✗
Southern Utah @ California Baptist -0.5 145.3 51% 72–71 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Seattle U +9.1 142.5 83% 83–68 ✗
New Mexico @ Utah State +2.5 158.3 62% 73–84 ✓
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -11.6 147.9 14% 72–69 ✓
Central Connecticut @ St. Francis Brooklyn +0.4 132.1 50% 48–53 ✓
Long Island University @ Merrimack +10.2 128.7 85% 59–76 ✓
Marshall @ App State -3.8 144.3 37% 66–58 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.