I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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47–23 on winners spread MAE 10.1 70 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Coppin State @ Towson +14.0 142.1 81% 67–83 ✓
UMBC @ UNC Greensboro +12.3 138.2 84% 72–76 ✓
UC San Diego @ George Washington +9.9 142.6 79% 75–70 ✗
Stonehill @ Fordham +11.8 150.1 84% 60–71 ✓
Vermont @ Yale +16.5 137.3 86% 44–73 ✓
Temple @ Richmond +1.6 139.3 58% 49–61 ✓
Southern Indiana @ St. Bonaventure +1.5 148.5 59% 66–80 ✓
Rider @ Rutgers +18.8 135.9 87% 46–76 ✓
Elon @ Jacksonville State +7.1 147.4 60% 53–78 ✓
Weber State @ Abilene Christian +0.9 126.4 54% 77–67 ✗
Northern Arizona @ UT Rio Grande Valley -0.3 148.8 44% 79–91 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Drexel -1.1 132.3 42% 67–59 ✓
Nevada @ Kansas State +1.8 128.5 64% 87–96 ✓
Creighton @ Arkansas -0.5 135.3 43% 90–87 ✓
Marist @ Maryland Eastern Shore +4.3 137.0 56% 59–70 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ UTSA +0.4 133.7 59% 75–82 ✓
Louisiana @ SMU +1.0 146.3 60% 76–72 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Lafayette +3.4 133.2 65% 74–68 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Pittsburgh +4.4 153.1 60% 61–83 ✓
Liberty @ Northwestern +6.2 137.0 69% 52–66 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Utah State +12.0 154.3 82% 85–95 ✓
Alcorn State @ UTEP -1.6 129.6 57% 61–73 ✗
UAlbany @ Presbyterian +0.7 135.3 46% 68–65 ✗
Grambling @ Arizona State +16.1 141.6 88% 49–80 ✓
Syracuse @ St. John's +2.9 150.5 59% 69–76 ✓
Wright State @ UC Riverside +0.8 152.5 56% 65–70 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Pacific +11.0 159.0 82% 69–65 ✗
Sacramento State @ UC Davis +1.6 138.0 61% 71–82 ✓
San Diego State @ Arizona -2.4 160.8 40% 70–87 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Toledo +5.9 146.6 73% 69–82 ✓
Illinois State @ Rhode Island -2.3 134.9 47% 44–57 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Long Island University -4.6 132.8 27% 86–61 ✓
American University @ Georgetown +8.1 144.2 78% 74–70 ✗
NC State @ Kansas -0.7 148.0 46% 74–80 ✗
Charlotte @ Detroit Mercy -0.9 137.7 42% 49–70 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Winthrop +2.6 151.3 62% 87–101 ✓
Chicago State @ Cleveland State +7.3 135.4 77% 63–77 ✓
UT Arlington @ East Carolina +6.4 133.4 79% 65–79 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Tulane +1.8 144.0 57% 71–65 ✗
South Dakota @ Sam Houston +18.5 137.2 85% 49–80 ✓
Columbia @ Binghamton +9.0 143.1 79% 79–81 ✓
Radford @ William & Mary -2.1 147.6 46% 51–62 ✗
Texas Tech @ Ohio State +1.8 131.4 61% 73–80 ✓
Wisconsin @ Dayton -0.3 122.9 52% 43–42 ✓
Valparaiso @ Samford +19.8 143.4 87% 49–79 ✓
St. Thomas @ Milwaukee -0.9 139.3 35% 76–72 ✓
Morgan State @ Loyola Marymount +11.5 146.4 83% 80–81 ✓
The Citadel @ LSU New Orleans +4.0 143.1 52% 72–65 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Central Michigan -0.6 138.3 48% 66–82 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Southern Miss +10.1 128.7 76% 58–70 ✓
Maine @ Central Connecticut -2.7 150.0 34% 66–58 ✓
McNeese @ Baylor +35.4 149.6 91% 60–89 ✓
North Florida @ Kentucky +23.7 153.3 90% 56–96 ✓
Jacksonville @ Campbell +19.7 133.0 87% 64–43 ✗
Wright State @ Weber State -3.5 147.2 35% 87–65 ✓
Lipscomb @ Chattanooga +6.7 141.3 74% 72–66 ✗
Creighton @ Arizona -1.4 163.6 50% 79–81 ✗
Drexel @ Indiana State +2.6 136.2 65% 81–85 ✓
Akron @ Nevada +4.3 132.8 70% 58–62 ✓
BYU @ USC -2.0 139.9 49% 76–82 ✗
Tennessee State @ High Point +1.1 144.5 53% 72–77 ✓
Denver @ IU Indianapolis -7.0 135.2 18% 86–64 ✓
Kent State @ Charleston +0.7 156.9 48% 72–74 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Alcorn State +4.6 134.8 59% 98–67 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Air Force +10.3 131.7 87% 51–64 ✓
Bradley @ Liberty -1.1 144.8 46% 44–55 ✗
Marquette @ Georgia Tech -3.3 138.8 32% 84–60 ✓
Little Rock @ Indiana +30.3 156.8 91% 68–87 ✓
Abilene Christian @ UC Riverside +5.5 134.2 67% 65–76 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Miami +19.0 141.6 90% 56–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.