We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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56–23 on winners spread MAE 9.3 79 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina State @ Queens University +19.2 152.6 90% 78–102 ✓
Missouri State @ Xavier +16.9 146.7 89% 57–75 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ North Carolina A&T +7.3 131.9 67% 79–82 ✓
Texas @ UConn +15.0 142.4 86% 63–71 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Austin Peay +0.3 138.8 48% 75–76 ✓
East Texas A&M @ McNeese +16.5 137.8 87% 66–102 ✓
California Baptist @ Eastern Washington -2.0 148.9 42% 88–83 ✓
Michigan State @ Penn State -8.1 137.9 23% 76–72 ✓
Texas Tech @ Arkansas +1.6 146.6 55% 86–93 ✓
Iona @ St. John's +19.9 157.4 90% 64–91 ✓
UAlbany @ Florida Atlantic +15.6 147.0 88% 79–105 ✓
Massachusetts @ Florida State +8.3 152.0 66% 103–95 ✗
DePaul @ Wichita State +11.4 141.1 84% 61–58 ✗
Central Michigan @ Stony Brook +12.3 145.0 85% 55–78 ✓
UL Monroe @ Miami +32.1 148.1 91% 79–104 ✓
Old Dominion @ George Mason +16.8 143.3 88% 61–73 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Elon +12.8 153.8 87% 79–85 ✓
Toledo @ Robert Morris +3.6 148.0 69% 70–75 ✓
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State +4.8 156.2 64% 85–76 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Delaware +4.9 146.7 69% 88–66 ✗
Marquette @ Purdue +22.9 151.0 91% 59–79 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ North Carolina +19.3 143.3 89% 62–80 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ UNC Asheville +2.0 143.5 58% 80–59 ✗
Western Illinois @ North Dakota +8.2 141.4 82% 69–66 ✗
North Dakota State @ Drake +6.2 141.9 73% 99–94 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Georgia State -0.8 128.8 27% 73–77 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Utah Valley +8.4 149.8 80% 53–68 ✓
Jackson State @ Northwestern +27.5 143.4 91% 53–93 ✓
Boston University @ Dartmouth +3.9 148.8 66% 64–77 ✓
Sacred Heart @ NJIT +1.2 147.2 42% 65–49 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Bellarmine +0.3 148.9 48% 80–76 ✗
Providence @ Butler +7.6 163.4 80% 110–113 ✓
Manhattan @ Fordham +10.1 140.8 84% 53–82 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Quinnipiac +14.0 151.3 88% 71–75 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Davidson +11.5 134.1 81% 47–80 ✓
Cincinnati @ Georgia +17.1 152.6 88% 65–84 ✓
Evansville @ Notre Dame +19.4 141.9 89% 58–82 ✓
Canisius @ Maine +8.5 125.3 82% 70–43 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ South Dakota +5.0 156.2 70% 85–97 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Georgetown +11.7 140.5 83% 68–76 ✓
George Washington @ Florida +7.3 154.0 79% 70–80 ✓
New Orleans @ Houston +22.2 140.0 91% 57–99 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Eastern Kentucky -6.0 156.0 26% 79–69 ✓
Tulsa @ New Mexico State -3.3 146.9 31% 83–70 ✓
Hampton @ Howard -4.0 138.8 40% 57–61 ✗
Southern Miss @ Ole Miss +4.2 141.1 62% 67–71 ✓
Delaware State @ Longwood +10.1 138.4 87% 81–76 ✗
Louisiana @ Louisiana Tech +11.7 126.5 83% 44–65 ✓
Arkansas State @ Rice -0.2 151.9 52% 76–77 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Valparaiso -2.4 135.0 35% 73–70 ✓
Kansas State @ Creighton +3.3 149.3 66% 83–76 ✗
Mercer @ Clemson +18.6 152.7 88% 63–70 ✓
Memphis @ Louisville +20.2 151.2 89% 73–99 ✓
Nebraska @ Illinois +7.4 149.2 77% 83–80 ✗
UIC @ Belmont +17.4 145.8 88% 84–87 ✓
UC Davis @ Oregon +1.7 142.8 58% 62–104 ✓
Wright State @ Marshall +3.5 143.9 68% 74–76 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Denver +3.5 164.6 73% 105–86 ✗
Murray State @ Akron +8.7 166.9 82% 115–100 ✗
UTSA @ Colorado +22.5 148.7 91% 64–88 ✓
Hofstra @ Syracuse +6.1 136.2 71% 70–69 ✗
Marist @ Bryant -2.0 125.1 43% 82–74 ✓
Niagara @ Morgan State +1.9 134.4 60% 73–81 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Binghamton -5.1 140.3 27% 84–67 ✓
La Salle @ Long Island University +6.3 139.4 71% 60–70 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Villanova +13.5 137.2 87% 61–79 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian +4.4 133.9 63% 74–71 ✗
Chattanooga @ Auburn +21.2 149.7 87% 78–92 ✓
Montana State @ Oregon State +0.3 141.9 55% 57–67 ✓
Northwestern State @ California +21.6 147.1 91% 70–79 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Ohio -4.5 146.6 28% 83–88 ✗
Illinois State @ Utah State +4.4 142.8 67% 78–83 ✓
Kansas @ NC State +5.6 145.6 69% 77–76 ✗
Northern Arizona @ San Diego +2.0 141.9 54% 69–78 ✓
Southern Utah @ Washington +25.3 148.4 91% 69–105 ✓
Oakland @ Northern Iowa +7.3 141.1 74% 63–75 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Richmond +8.5 152.0 76% 84–93 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Loyola Maryland +3.5 147.3 64% 81–73 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Vanderbilt +27.0 153.5 90% 72–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.