Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -2100 SCST +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +24 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -22.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (+20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -14.9 (+9.1) | 150.9 (+29.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -17.7 (+6.3) | 150.1 (+29.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -19.2 (+4.8) | 152.6 (+27.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -21.4 (+2.6) | 151.2 (+28.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-16 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.8 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#184) | -19.2 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#249) | -3.79 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#241) | -5.30 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#283) | 0.314 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 60.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 34.9% |
Game Analysis
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