And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–13 on winners spread MAE 9.1 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
The Citadel @ South Carolina +26.7 146.4 91% 55–71 ✓
Georgia Southern @ West Georgia +2.8 148.5 61% 91–85 ✗
Arizona State @ Santa Clara +5.4 151.7 62% 82–79 ✗
Stanford @ San José State -2.0 144.6 43% 86–82 ✓
North Florida @ Dayton +20.8 153.1 90% 61–84 ✓
Indiana @ Kentucky +5.1 153.1 76% 60–72 ✓
Michigan @ Maryland -16.7 149.0 16% 101–83 ✓
Rutgers @ Seton Hall +15.5 136.1 88% 59–81 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Grand Canyon +10.3 134.5 82% 61–82 ✓
West Virginia @ Ohio State +5.2 137.7 67% 88–89 ✓
San Francisco @ Saint Louis +19.1 146.5 88% 75–85 ✓
SMU @ LSU +3.8 152.5 66% 77–89 ✓
UC Riverside @ BYU +26.4 150.1 91% 53–100 ✓
Arizona @ Alabama +2.6 171.2 48% 96–75 ✗
Pepperdine @ Cal State Bakersfield +2.7 138.3 51% 70–62 ✗
Tennessee State @ UNLV +5.7 154.6 71% 63–60 ✗
Mississippi State @ Utah -0.0 151.7 51% 82–74 ✓
Duquesne @ Nevada +11.3 152.3 83% 75–78 ✓
UCLA @ Gonzaga +20.1 144.2 89% 72–82 ✓
Tulane @ UC San Diego +13.1 150.8 84% 67–93 ✓
UTEP @ Hawai'i +14.8 131.1 87% 61–66 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Virginia Tech +22.6 141.3 90% 53–82 ✓
Saint Francis @ Temple +18.1 148.3 90% 67–95 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Iowa State +36.0 148.5 91% 53–78 ✓
Texas Southern @ Minnesota +16.3 142.1 88% 53–89 ✓
Buffalo @ East Carolina -6.0 141.9 26% 70–73 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Missouri +16.5 145.8 88% 60–82 ✓
Merrimack @ Vermont +8.7 139.4 79% 59–66 ✓
High Point @ App State -9.0 143.1 18% 78–86 ✗
Monmouth @ Fairfield +2.3 147.4 59% 65–73 ✓
Ball State @ Campbell +9.2 139.6 76% 64–69 ✓
Indiana State @ Milwaukee +1.9 145.4 54% 70–68 ✗
Coppin State @ Radford +15.4 147.4 89% 77–107 ✓
Troy @ UAB +9.0 150.1 79% 86–85 ✗
Western Michigan @ Iowa +20.7 139.7 90% 51–91 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ New Mexico +14.9 157.5 88% 59–75 ✓
Charlotte @ Charleston +3.0 135.7 66% 67–74 ✓
Kent State @ Portland -0.3 161.2 52% 78–88 ✗
Queens University @ Wake Forest +15.0 157.7 88% 73–111 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Purdue Fort Wayne +4.8 151.6 71% 77–81 ✓
Chicago State @ Loyola Chicago +6.2 140.9 75% 84–75 ✗
North Texas @ South Alabama +4.1 135.9 67% 58–57 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Boise State -0.8 136.1 57% 67–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.