Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -265 TROY +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TROY +1 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -9.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -8.7 (-9.7) | 154.8 (+16.2) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -9.3 (-10.3) | 151.6 (+19.4) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -9.0 (-10.0) | 150.1 (+20.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -10.2 (-11.2) | 155.2 (+15.8) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2020 | UAB 77 – 55 TROY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | TROY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-9 | 10-3 |
| Away | 10-2 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#100) | 0.5 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#116) | 0.69 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#107) | 0.17 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#145) | 0.549 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | TROY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 25.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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