Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -258 CLT +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -3.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -3.4 (+3.6) | 135.3 (+5.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -3.2 (+3.8) | 135.2 (+5.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -3.0 (+4.0) | 135.7 (+5.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -3.2 (+3.8) | 134.4 (+6.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 25, 2024 | COFC 84 – 81 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#202) | -1.1 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#243) | -0.63 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#224) | -0.57 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#232) | 0.491 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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