Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -900 SF +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +10 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -18.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -12.3 (-2.3) | 146.8 (+13.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -17.7 (-7.7) | 146.0 (+14.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -19.1 (-9.1) | 146.5 (+13.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -18.5 (-8.5) | 144.4 (+15.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2024 | SF 78 – 61 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 19-0 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 16.3 (#22) | 2.1 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#43) | 0.25 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#31) | 0.69 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#46) | 0.514 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 43.4 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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