Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SF -450 SLU +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +17 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SF -21.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -17.7 (-0.7) | 143.7 (-4.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -17.6 (-0.6) | 145.1 (-6.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -19.2 (-2.2) | 145.7 (-6.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -20.2 (-3.2) | 145.6 (-6.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | SLU 85 – 75 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 17-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#51) | -6.1 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#64) | 0.33 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#60) | 0.24 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#96) | 0.487 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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