Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -800 CCU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +21 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -11.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -10.5 (+10.5) | 136.9 (+6.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GCU -13.3 (+7.7) | 133.8 (+9.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GCU -9.3 (+11.7) | 134.1 (+8.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -10.3 (+10.7) | 134.5 (+8.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#116) | -2.5 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#161) | 0.26 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#159) | -0.06 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#169) | 0.476 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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