I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Santa Clara Broncos
79 82
FINAL Neutral Jack Jones Classic
Arizona State Sun Devils
Lee's Family Forum (Neutral) · December 14, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 154.5 Over
Money SCU -130 / ASU +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual ASU +3 161 Lost
Massey SCU -3.2 (-6.2)
Massey Totals 154.2 (+6.8)
Bradley-Terry 40%
Weighted B-T 42%
Baseline Plus ML SCU -4.2 (-7.2) 149.5 (+11.5) 60%
Model 4 ML SCU -5.1 (-8.1) 146.9 (+14.1) 66%
Model 3 ML SCU -4.2 (-7.2) 148.1 (+12.9) 65%
Baseline ML SCU -5.4 (-8.4) 151.7 (+9.3) 62%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 9, 2024 ASU 8174 SCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU ASU
Overall 26-9 17-16
Conference 15-3 7-11
Home 14-1 10-5
Away 8-3 2-9
Neutral 4-5 5-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 82.9 76.3
Avg Pts Against 73.5 78.3
Massey 11.0 (#49) 7.8 (#81)
Bradley-Terry 2.25 (#42) 2.67 (#24)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.57 (#33) 3.90 (#26)
RPI 0.638 (#18) 0.577 (#64)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU ASU
FG% 45.2% 46.5%
3PT% 31.6% 38.4%
REB / G 38.0 33.4
OREB / G 15.6 9.6
AST / TO 1.58 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 54.0%
TOV% 16.5% 15.1%
ORB% 41.4% 28.7%
FT Rate 17.7% 32.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.1% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 20.8% 20.9%
DRB% 67.8% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 32.7% 28.1%

Game Analysis

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