Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | ASU +200 SCU -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +7 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -3.9 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | ASU -1.8 (+5.2) | 134.2 (+20.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -0.6 (+6.4) | 128.2 (+26.8) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | ASU 82 – 79 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-9 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#174) | 2.3 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#133) | 1.06 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#135) | 1.47 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#18) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 28.4% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 13.1% |
Game Analysis
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