Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -3600 TXSO +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +36 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -19.2 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -18.4 (+17.6) | 142.7 (-0.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -14.9 (+21.1) | 143.0 (-1.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -16.3 (+19.7) | 142.1 (-0.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -16.5 (+19.5) | 141.3 (+0.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 80.0 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#138) | -12.6 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#176) | -2.87 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#156) | -3.96 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#183) | 0.447 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 34.3% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 37.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.