Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | SJSU +320 STAN -410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +4 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -4.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -4.0 (-0.0) | 142.8 (+25.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -1.4 (-2.6) | 143.8 (+24.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -2.0 (-2.0) | 144.6 (+23.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -2.5 (-1.5) | 144.5 (+23.5) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2021 | STAN 76 – 62 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-10 | 12-6 |
| Away | 1-12 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#213) | 5.6 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#240) | 0.68 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#230) | 0.91 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#212) | 0.538 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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