Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | WGA +140 GASO -166 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +6 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | WGA -2.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WGA -1.2 (-7.2) | 153.8 (+22.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WGA -2.7 (-8.7) | 147.5 (+28.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WGA -2.8 (-8.8) | 148.5 (+27.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WGA -3.4 (-9.4) | 152.8 (+23.2) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | GASO 64 – 54 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WGA | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.5 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#284) | -5.4 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#133) | -0.94 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#200) | -1.83 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#152) | 0.440 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WGA | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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