We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · December 14, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -8.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money CAM -345 / BALL +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual CAM +5 133 Won
Massey CAM -10.8 (-5.8)
Massey Totals 144.0 (-11.0)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 99%
Efficiency Plus ML CAM -8.4 (-3.4) 138.9 (-5.9) 81%
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -7.6 (-2.6) 141.0 (-8.0) 78%
Baseline ML CAM -9.2 (-4.2) 139.6 (-6.6) 76%
Baseline Plus ML CAM -8.5 (-3.5) 140.8 (-7.8) 76%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM BALL
Overall 16-18 12-19
Conference 8-10 7-11
Home 10-4 7-7
Away 3-13 4-11
Neutral 3-1 1-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 W4
Avg Pts For 76.1 66.1
Avg Pts Against 78.8 71.4
Massey -5.6 (#256) -12.0 (#330)
Bradley-Terry -0.02 (#183) -2.79 (#338)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.04 (#176) -3.79 (#337)
RPI 0.523 (#135) 0.315 (#362)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM BALL
FG% 41.3% 38.3%
3PT% 27.0% 30.0%
REB / G 35.3 32.2
OREB / G 11.7 11.0
AST / TO 0.64 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.1% 44.7%
TOV% 20.8% 17.8%
ORB% 32.4% 28.7%
FT Rate 35.2% 20.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.3% 53.8%
Opp TOV% 15.1% 19.9%
DRB% 68.5% 66.8%
Opp FT Rate 29.5% 19.0%

Game Analysis

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