And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Marriott Center · December 14, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BYU -33.5 Home covered
O/U 155.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total BYU win
Actual BYU +47 153 Won
Massey BYU -26.9 (+20.1)
Massey Totals 154.4 (-1.4)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML BYU -21.4 (+25.6) 149.7 (+3.3) 91%
Baseline Tuned ML BYU -23.4 (+23.6) 151.2 (+1.8) 91%
Baseline ML BYU -26.4 (+20.6) 150.1 (+2.9) 91%
Baseline Plus ML BYU -26.2 (+20.8) 150.2 (+2.8) 91%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 9, 2024 BYU 8680 UCR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BYU UCR
Overall 23-12 10-22
Conference 9-9 5-15
Home 14-3 7-7
Away 3-6 3-15
Neutral 6-3 0-0
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 83.5 71.6
Avg Pts Against 75.4 79.1
Massey 19.4 (#11) -3.0 (#216)
Bradley-Terry 3.70 (#11) -0.30 (#208)
W. Bradley-Terry 5.26 (#11) -0.28 (#191)
RPI 0.718 (#2) 0.479 (#211)
Shooting & Four Factors BYU UCR
FG% 48.4% 46.9%
3PT% 35.3% 33.5%
REB / G 38.9 34.2
OREB / G 11.1 8.4
AST / TO 1.49 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.4% 53.1%
TOV% 13.6% 20.2%
ORB% 32.7% 26.9%
FT Rate 23.5% 29.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 14.1%
DRB% 70.4% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 17.9% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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