Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -4000 UCR +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +6 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -22.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -14.8 (-8.8) | 146.1 (+19.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -19.1 (-13.1) | 142.8 (+23.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | BYU 100 – 53 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#43) | 0.5 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#135) | -0.38 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#114) | -0.51 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#18) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 49.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 20.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.91 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 11.3% |
| ORB% | 48.8% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 9.7% | 9.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.2% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.0% | 11.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 58.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.9% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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