Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB -135 PEPP +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +8 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -1.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -2.9 (-10.9) | 141.2 (-9.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | CSUB -2.4 (-10.4) | 141.0 (-9.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | CSUB -2.3 (-10.3) | 139.4 (-7.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -2.7 (-10.7) | 138.3 (-6.3) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2020 | CSUB 79 – 51 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-11 | 7-10 |
| Away | 1-13 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#315) | -7.9 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#260) | -2.02 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#258) | -2.28 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#289) | 0.397 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 36.5% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 59.5% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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